Graco Inc Stock Performance

GGG Stock  USD 91.58  2.79  3.14%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Graco holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Graco returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Graco is expected to follow. Please check Graco's sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Graco's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Graco Inc are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Graco reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.14
Five Day Return
5.1
Year To Date Return
10.82
Ten Year Return
277.96
All Time Return
56 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0133
Payout Ratio
0.3797
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.18
Dividend Date
2026-02-04
1
Graco raises dividend by 7.3 percent to 0.295 a share
12/08/2025
2
Disposition of 2500 shares by Timothy White of Graco at 23.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
3
Acquisition by Black Archie C. of 304 shares of Graco subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
4
Graco Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
01/02/2026
5
Is Graco Pricing Too Rich After Steady Returns And Rich PE Multiple
01/22/2026
6
Graco Inc. Non-GAAP EPS of 0.77 beats by 0.01, revenue of 593.2M beats by 2.66M
01/26/2026
7
Graco Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
01/27/2026
8
What To Expect From Parker-Hannifins Q4 Earnings
01/28/2026
9
The Bull Case For Graco Could Change Following Record 2025 Results And Cautious 2026 Outlook
01/29/2026
10
Is Graco Fairly Priced After Recent Steady Share Performance
01/30/2026
11
Disposition of 12870 shares by J Gilligan of Graco at 36.0867 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
 
Graco dividend paid on 4th of February 2026
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow675.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-172.8 M

Graco Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,137  in Graco Inc on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,021  from holding Graco Inc or generate 12.55% return on investment over 90 days. Graco Inc is generating 0.205% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.2628% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Graco, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Graco is expected to generate 1.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Graco Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Graco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 91.58 90 days 91.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graco to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Graco Inc probability density function shows the probability of Graco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates Graco Inc market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Graco is expected to follow. Additionally Graco Inc has an alpha of 0.1337, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Graco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Graco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graco Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.3391.5892.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.42104.31105.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.9589.2090.46
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
86.7595.33105.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Graco Inc.

Graco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graco Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Graco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graco Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of February 2026 Graco paid $ 0.295 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 12870 shares by J Gilligan of Graco at 36.0867 subject to Rule 16b-3

Graco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments624.1 M

Graco Fundamentals Growth

Graco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Graco, and Graco fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Graco Stock performance.

About Graco Performance

By analyzing Graco's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Graco's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Graco has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Graco has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 154.65  85.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.23  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.28  0.26 
Return On Assets 0.19  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.23  0.22 

Things to note about Graco Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Graco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Graco Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of February 2026 Graco paid $ 0.295 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 12870 shares by J Gilligan of Graco at 36.0867 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Graco's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Graco's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Graco's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Graco's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Graco's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Graco's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Graco's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Graco's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Graco's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Graco's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Graco's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Graco's price analysis, check to measure Graco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graco is operating at the current time. Most of Graco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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